Hurricane Irene
Situation Report
Virginia Emergency Operations Center
As of 1400 hrs, October 15, 1999
The VEOC continues to monitor and track Hurricane Irene. Based upon discussions with the NWS, VA can expect effects from a frontal system after midnight on Saturday and from Irene during the day on Sunday. By that time Irene should be extra-tropical in nature (more like a bad nor'easter), with the main threat being from rain versus wind during a 24-hour period. Current NHC models place the remnants of Irene close to Richmond on Monday. NWS advises to expect at least 2-4" of rain, with 3-5" more likely, and the potential of 5-8" depending upon the speed of the system. NWS advises 3-5" within 24 hours will likely produce significant river rises and cause minor flooding. Minimum Tropical Storm Force winds are possible in SE VA. The area with the greatest potential for rainfall is to the East of Roanoke; areas West from Roanoke will likely not see more than 1" of rainfall. Localities and state agencies should continue to monitor this storm as changes in the path, speed, intensity, and subsequent effects are possible as the system clears Florida and heads North. VEOC will continue to monitor the storm and will issue Watches/Warnings as necessary.
Authority of Michael Cline, State coordinator
/S/A. F. Vincent, Deputy Operations Director, 804-674-2400